Consider
how prominently the emerging sector figures into Restaurant Business’ Future 50 report, an annual listing of the fastest-growing small-to-mid-sized chains
(defined by Technomic as having $25 million to $50 million in sales.) In past
years, the ranking abounded in concepts that are now major parts of the mosaic,
like better-burger joints, Korean-style fro-yo shops, or wings-and-beer
specialists. None of those were as prevalent this year as polished casual
chains. Six were on our just-published list, including Cru—A Wine Bar, Burtons Grill, Stanford’s, and Cooper’s Hawk.
Simultaneously,
the greybeards of mainstream casual dining are charging upmarket into the
polished tier. Look at the new siblings of Red Lobster and Olive Garden: Eddie V’s (No. 15 on our Future 50 list) and Wildfish Seafood Grille, which Darden Restaurants
purchased in a surprise deal. These aren’t the sorts of places where blue
collar consumers pack the booths for an all-you-can-eat crab deal.
They’re
more in the level of Seasons 52, Darden Restaurants’ California wine bar and
seasonal specialist.
Ruby
Tuesday, meanwhile, is developing an upscale licensed concept called Truffles
Cafe, while switching some of its old and tired namesake restaurants to a new,
fresher, more polished brand called Marlin and Ray’s.
Clearly
investors are attracted to the sector. Bill Foley, for instance, is purchasing
J. Alexander’s after adding Stony River Legendary Steaks to the portfolio
through the acquisition of O’Charley’s.
And
Centerbridge Partners, a private-equity firm, is in the process of buying P.F.
Chang’s.
It’s
easy to understand why the action is shifting to the polished strata of casual
dining. There’s more of an emphasis on wine and liquor sales, and the food
portion of the ticket is considerably higher, yielding better returns on the
considerable investment in a sizeable restaurant.
But
the real driver might be the trend in consumer tastes, which can be summed up
in one word: Better. Better burgers, better coffee, better beer, better
cupcakes, better burritos. Why not better dining in a casual setting?
It’s
the same dynamic that’s remaking the quick-service sector. Everyone wants to be
in fast-casual, even longtime traditionalists like Taco Bell, Fazoli’s and
Pizza Inn.
Polished casual truly is the fast-casual of
casual.
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